“Prediction markets turn probability into a tradeable asset, replacing hierarchy with truth-seeking bets”
Mickey Hardy (Arcadia) argues prediction markets are not just better gambling but the next fundamental system for organizing human behavior — comparable to stock markets, insurance, and search engines — by converting probability itself into a measurable, allocatable asset. Covers applications across pharma, insurance, corporate forecasting, and geopolitics, with a long-term vision of society coordinating via financially-incentivized probability rather than narrative and hierarchy.
No technical background needed