Internal or external prediction markets used by companies for forecasting, decision-making, and treasury management, distinct from retail-facing political or sports markets.
Cluster: Business & Platforms
Internal or external prediction markets used by companies for forecasting, decision-making, and treasury management, distinct from retail-facing political or sports markets.
Referenced in 2 articles
Mickey Hardy (Arcadia) argues prediction markets are not just better gambling but the next fundamental system for organizing human behavior — comparable to stock markets, insurance, and search engines — by converting probability itself into a measurable, allocatable asset. Covers applications across pharma, insurance, corporate forecasting, and geopolitics, with a long-term vision of society coordinating via financially-incentivized probability rather than narrative and hierarchy.
Makes the case for prediction markets as a corporate treasury and forecasting tool, backed by data on 127x volume growth from 2022 to 2025. Profiles Enlivex's use of the Rain protocol on Arbitrum as its primary reserve asset, and traces how prediction markets are displacing expert opinion in pharma, climate science, and supply chain management.