Library/The Case For Alternative Ordering Mechanisms in Prediction Markets
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The Case For Alternative Ordering Mechanisms in Prediction Markets

Human Invariant·November 12, 2025·Blog
latency arms races hurt prediction markets; batch auctions let makers quote tighter spreads

Why It's Worth Reading

Argues that First-Come-First-Served order matching in prediction markets creates perverse incentives: latency wars between traders and defensive spread widening by market makers. Proposes priority batch auctions that process cancellations before maker orders before taker orders, allowing market makers to quote tighter spreads and improving price quality for all participants.

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