Library/Every Opinion Deserves A Market
DesignOpinion

Every Opinion Deserves A Market

Turf·April 22, 2026·Twitter
clob markets fail when there's no natural counterparty, but parimutuel pools don't need one

Why It's Worth Reading

Launch post for sdk.markets, a toolkit for creating parimutuel prediction markets on arbitrary questions, built on Base. Argues CLOB infrastructure does not fit thin community markets and that parimutuel pools are simpler and fairer when there is no natural counterparty. Details design choices that address parimutuel's classic 'wait and see' sniping problem (short answer windows, snapshot locking, DPM-style pricing) and three resolution modes: single admin, multi-admin consensus, and an AI oracle that resolves from arbitrary URLs.

Some technical background helpful

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Platforms mentioned: NEW: Turf

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