probability infrastructure

The concept of prediction market mechanisms as a general-purpose layer that embeds live probability signals into decision surfaces beyond trading, such as attention, credibility, and demand.

Cluster: Information Theory

Related Concepts

• credibility markets — Markets where participants stake on the accuracy of claims or sources, building continuously updated trust scores rather than static reputations. Treats trustworthiness as a tradeable probability over time.
• demand markets — Markets that capture consumer purchase intent as a probability signal before production, replacing surveys and focus groups with skin-in-the-game demand forecasting.
• info finance — Using financial market mechanisms to elicit, aggregate, and trade on informational signals about future events.
• information aggregation — The process by which markets combine dispersed private knowledge into a single consensus price signal.

Articles about probability infrastructure

• The Probability Layers Are Coming by Aggie