“prediction market builders must choose between liquidity wars and decision-support tools”
Argues prediction market builders face a binary choice: compete for venue liquidity against entrenched incumbents (Polymarket, Kalshi) or build decision-support tools for power users. Claims the most valuable layer is not the marketplace but analytics and tooling that helps traders surface mispriced probabilities, model correlated outcomes, and improve conviction sizing.
No technical background needed
Platforms mentioned: Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless Exchange