“prediction market winners are built on habit mechanics, not oracle quality”
Lays out an 8-point retention playbook for prediction market platforms, arguing the winners will be decided by habit-forming product mechanics rather than oracle quality or market breadth. Covers first-trade urgency, daily streaks, one-tap re-betting, leaderboard copy trading, shareable win moments, customizable flex cards, market-specific referral fees, and visible leverage controls. Borrows patterns from casinos, mobile games, and memecoins, and highlights Ares as a platform already shipping many of these ideas.
No technical background needed
Platforms mentioned: Ares, Polymarket