Library/Next Gen Prediction Markets
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Next Gen Prediction Markets

Social Graph Ventures·August 6, 2025·Twitter
prediction markets will replace polling, pundits, and political betting as we know it

Why It's Worth Reading

VC landscape analysis covering incumbents (Polymarket vs Kalshi metrics) and emerging players (Limitless, Onit, Hedgehog, Inertia). Explores advanced concepts including futarchy (MetaDAO), conditional DeFi markets, and beauty contest games. Outlines investment criteria: prosumer appeal, category focus, permissionless market creation, and parlay support.

Some technical background helpful

Concepts

Platforms mentioned: Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless Exchange, Hedgehog Markets

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