A clear-eyed diagnosis of why decision markets (futarchy) haven’t taken off despite the elegant theory. Identifies two structural problems: thin markets that can’t attract enough informed traders for idiosyncratic decisions, and a conditional-futures architecture where token-price-as-KPI is too noisy to incentivize rational trading. Covers MetaDAO and Combinator as current implementations grappling with these issues.
Some technical background helpful
Platforms mentioned: MetaDAO, Combinator