“prediction markets reveal truth better than polls when network effects drive price discovery”
Characterizes Polymarket as a crypto media/creator economy platform rather than just an event-trading platform. Notes the 166:1 ratio of monthly visits to MAU suggests significant non-trading visitors, and that Polymarket users are older and less focused on maximizing risk-reward compared to typical crypto traders.
Some technical background helpful
Platforms mentioned: Polymarket, PredictIt, Iowa Electronic Markets