“ai agents will turn prediction markets into probabilistic information infrastructure within two years”
Comprehensive research report on AI agents for prediction markets, proposing a four-layer architecture (data, analysis, execution, learning) for autonomous trading systems. Maps the ecosystem of existing agents, compares Kelly criterion vs fixed-fraction bet sizing, surveys arbitrage strategies across platforms, and outlines business models (agent-as-a-service, liquidity mining, data sales). Argues that AI agents will become the dominant market participants within two years, transforming prediction markets from retail-driven speculation into infrastructure for probabilistic information.
Extensive technical background assumed
Platforms mentioned: Polymarket, Kalshi