Library/Liquidity in Prediction Markets and the Rise of a New Asset Class
MicrostructureAnalysis

Liquidity in Prediction Markets and the Rise of a New Asset Class

Ranger Global·January 5, 2026·Twitter
prediction markets are turning binary bets into a new asset class for structured hedging

Why It's Worth Reading

Argues price prediction markets (short-term expiries like 'will BTC close above $100k?') represent a new asset class. Compares AMM vs CLOB mechanics, notes Limitless achieves 50-400bps spreads (better than onchain options at 1000+bps). Outlines how prediction markets enable synthetic covered calls, structured hedging, and volatility expression.

Some technical background helpful

Concepts

Platforms mentioned: Polymarket, Limitless Exchange

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