Library/Prediction Market Perps - the 1% Winning Product
DesignAnalysis

Prediction Market Perps - the 1% Winning Product

Astaria·May 4, 2026·Twitter
prediction market perps work best as hedging tools, not liquidation arcades

Why It's Worth Reading

Makes the case that prediction market perpetuals are structurally different from crypto perps because event contracts lack a tradeable underlying, making most implementations liquidation arcades. Argues the winning path is building perps as institutional hedging infrastructure for continuous event-risk management rather than leveraged betting.

Some technical background helpful

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